Friday, December 30, 2011

Tropical Storm Thane sends moisture towards Central India. Rainfall likely in some areas

METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

The former tropical cyclone Thane which made a landfall South of Cuddalore at around 0500hrs IST today with a pressure of 985mb created moisture band North of LLCC during its final journey. 

As seen from the above GFS 850mb map, the past cyclone Thane is the anti clockwise whirl at South India while to its North the moisture from Bay of Bengal which was influenced by the system is digging in Central India. 
A High Pressure region  at the Mid levels will be intensifying at North of Bay of Bengal just over West Bengal. This High pressure region will channelize the moisture to spread over Central India with the earlier Northerly winds turning Southernly from tomorrow onwards



As seen from this 72hr i.e of 1st Jan 2012 plot, a much of rainfall is being seen over East Central India especially around Nagpur. 
The rainfall shall be eminent in Madhya Pradesh,Northern Maharashtra on 31st Dec 2011,spreading over a large area on the first fay of New Year!

As a result of the favored moisture and destabilized atmosphere, Rainfall shall be expected in Nagpur on Saturday night period with Mostly Cloudy weather. There will be an upsurge in the min temp to 20C ( +8C) due to this. 

If the GFS is to be believed, the lifting mechanism shall be good on Sunday where some isolated thunderstorm is expected with some rainfall in the city!

Forecast for Nagpur- 

30/12- Mostly Cloudy with convection building
Min temp to be around 19C

31/12- Day shall begin with clear or light clouds but with the reach of convection temperature in afternoon,CB clouds will build and an isolated thunderstorm can be expected in or in the vicinity of Nagpur providing rains

1/1/2012- Expected to be overcast with light rains 

2/1/2012 - Decreasing cloud cover and possible light rains till early morning. Rest mostly cloudy weather


Akshay Deoras
Severe Earth & Space Weather Forecaster,Astrophysics article writer.

Web-
www.akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
www.metdweather.blogspot.com
        www.scribd.com/akshaydeoras

Thursday, December 29, 2011

Landfall of Tropical Storm Thane takes place South of Cuddalore

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM (INTENSITY DOUBTED) HAS TAKEN PLACE AROUND 0600HRS IST TODAY SOUTH OF CUDDALORE. As seen from this DWR microwave imagery,the eyewall crossed exactly south of Cuddalore where the peak winds reported were around 115km/hr ! The winds are now expected to reverse as the half of the system has crossed

METD WEATHER HAS EXTENDED THE ALERT TOWARDS THE WEST AREAS OF THE PREVIOUSLY ALERTED REGION WHICH WILL BE NOTIFIED SHORTLY AT

facebook.com/deorasakshay

Dangerous Mistake made by Deccan Chronicle on Cyclone Thane

Well, it seems to be a non scientific post but I have pointed a dangerous mistake made by the newspaper Deccan Chronicle in their article on Cyclone Thane

The article can be seen here

Deccan Chronicle reports-

However, the storm surge is expected to be around 1 km in height and not cause much damage.


Well its a sure misguidance especially at a time of emergency like this. So people reading it please note that the correct line will be

However,the storm surge is expected to be around 1-1.5 m in height and not cause much damage

Akshay Deoras
METD WEATHER

CYCLONE THANE BATTERS TAMIL NADU COAST

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

The Cyclone Thane as being mentioned in today's posts is rapidly approaching the Tamil Nadu coast at a speed of over 11km/hr!


AS OF 0730PM IST,
THANE IS AT 81E,11.8N ABOUT 100KM SOUTH EAST OF CHENNAI




Rainfall associated with it already began in Chennai late yesterday with moderate winds!
As seen from the above IR-NHC spectrum imagery, it appears that the LLCC ( Low Level Cyclonic Circulation Center) is rapidly approaching towards the area between Puducherry and Cuddalore! 


The image on the right hand side is of the Doppler Radar Chennai of 1335UT i.e 0635PM IST which clearly shows the LLCC ( Noted as circular vortex South East of Chennai in the circle of Radius 100km!) is approaching Puducherry for a head on. The radar estimates that the landfall shall be sometime tomorrow ( 30th Dec 2011) morning around 0530hrs IST


Cyclone Thane has been a Cat 1 Cyclone during the landfall which was a bit expected as it didn't had that much space where it could get weak. It shall now start weakening as it is losing the Sea surface contact. 






METD WEATHER HAS ISSUED A MARK 5 ALERT AND PDS FOR 
METD WEATHER PDS AND MARK 5 ALERT FOR THE BELOW AREAS VALID TILL 1900hrs,30th Dec 2011 

Chennai,Mamallapuram,Pondicherry,Chidambaram,Kanchipuram,Neyveli,Cuddalore,KARAIKAL,NAGAPATTINAM,THANJAVUR,TIRUCHCHIRAPALLI AND SURROUNDINGS







RIGHT- 
This is a classical example of Doppler Effect with a Tropical Cyclones in Northern Hemisphere. 
A cyclone due to coriolis force of earth's rotation rotates ANTICLOCKWISE in Northern Hemisphere. Thus the winds in the Northern half of center are anticlockwise i.e during such landfall from East the winds move towards the land( DENOTED BY BLUE COLOR IN THE IMAGE) and in the Southern Half ( RED COLOR) means winds are moving away!
























Thus PEOPLE ARE BEING INFORMED TO STAY AWAY FROM DAMAGES ESP FROM HIGH WINDS,RAINS AND STORM SURGES


FOLLOW 
facebook.com/deorasakshay 


FOR INSTANT UPDATES



Eyewall of Tropical Cyclone BOB D1(Thane) 150km SE of Chennai

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

THE LANDFALL PROCESS OF CYCLONE THANE HAS BEGUN FEW HOURS AGO RESULTING IN RAIN AND STRONG WINDS IN CHENNAI.HOWEVER THE EYEWALL IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR TO PUDUCHCHERRY IN PONDICHERRY TONIGHT.AS A RESULT VERY HEAVY RAINS,WINDS WILL CONTINUE PRIOR TO LANDFALL ALSO

MAJOR FLOODING ALSO CAN BE EXPECTED DUE TO THE STORM SURGE
THE ATTACHED IMAGE IS OF THE DOPPLER RADAR OF CHENNAI WHERE THE EYEWALL CAN BE SEEN AS A CIRCLE AROUND 150KM SE OF CHENNAI...

Follow metdweather at
facebook.com/deorasakshay

To get Instant updates on this landfall

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

TS Thane is now a Category 1


METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
Severe Weather Forecaster

Well, Category 1 Cyclone BOB D1 ( Thane) definitely intensified a bit in the last 12hrs unlike expected by METD WEATHER but since it was near the transition of Cat 1 from Tropical Storm on Saffir Simpson scale the strengthening isn't that significant

Right now the system has really gained tremendous convection momentum


The next post shall be on 29th Dec 2011 morning till then METD WEATHER EXPECTS THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY ATLEAST A BIT

ALERTS- 

METD WEATHER ISSUES A PDS AND MARK 5 ALERT FOR THE REGION ABOVE MENTIONED IN RED AND BLUE..


ALERT HAS ALREADY BEGUN AND EXPIRES 0800HRS IST,1ST JAN 2012

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

Tropical Cyclone BOB D1 (Thane) in the final stages of intensification,Expected to weaken now

METD WEATHER 
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

The much anticipated and quasi-stationary cyclone BOB D1 ( Thane) as expected is in the very FINAL STAGE of intensification. 
The Microwave imagery coupled with the PW spectrum imagery shows a phenomenal decrease in the available moisture around the system clearly depicting and confirmed by JTWC that Thane has exited its "Intensification Region" where there was ample of moisture to sustain robust convection!

Further the system has entered a region of much cooler SST of the order of 26-27C as against the past HIGH SST. 


The above imagery from NRL of the Brightness temp indicates the system's environment is much colder than previous and brighter convection is ongoing in the South Eastern periphery of the LLCC. 

A confirmation to the decrease in the moisture environment is depicted below from two images of 27th Dec and 28th Dec respective order. There has been a classic decrease in the PW.



The LLCC also has shrunk today unlike the broad nature of yesterday given the lacking low level convergence. Robust convection continues in the LLCC given the Poleward Outflow of 20kt. 

The overall symmetry of TS Thane indicates a peak convection cloud top temp of -70C at the LLCC aloft,two outflow channels have also developed at the North East and South Western periphery of the system… 

The banding feature also has weakened around the system!

Forecast ( Valid +12hrs 0600GMT,28th Dec)
The system is expected to WEAKEN henceforth considering the cut off from abundant moisture field,encountering cooler SST and lack of lower convergence. A marginal possibility ( IMD) of further intensification in the next 12hrs which METD WEATHER rules out. 

The system is expected to cross the Indian coast near Chennai on 29th Dec 2011 late period! 



Akshay Deoras
Severe Earth & Space Weather Forecaster,Astrophysics article writer.

Web-
www.akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
www.metdweather.blogspot.com
        www.scribd.com/akshaydeoras


Tropical Cyclone BOB D1 Update 2 ( TS Thane)

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

The anticipated storm of the year TS BOB D1 ( Thane) is robustly growing and in the past 12hrs has significantly grown as was expected. 
The IR-BD spectrum satellite imagery clearly depicts a fully exposed LLCC which was partial 12hrs ago. The LLCC ( Low Level Cyclonic 
Circulation Center) is backed by stronger winds (over 35kt as per NRL) to the East of LLCC which seems to be the aggressive developing side of the system. Also the Highest PW lies around the East of the system which is backing up the LLCC. 

"The cyclonic storm THANE over southeast Bay of Bengal moved northwestwards and lay centered at 1730 hrs IST of today, the 27th December 2011 near latitude 12.50N and longitude 86.50E, about 650 km east-southeast of Chennai (Tamilnadu), 700 km northeast of Trincomalee (Srilanka) and 670 km west-northwest of Port Blair (Andaman & Nicobar island)"

 IMD QUOTES AT 1730 IST,27TH DEC 2011

The argument is not on the LLCC but is on the overall momentum of the system. In the past 12hrs, the low level convergence has decreased barely to 5kt as per CIMSS and the system is on the boundary of 28C SST and shall soon step in the 27C. Guidance indicates that the Vertical wind shears have temporarily relaxed as the system continues to mature amidst an excellent poleward outflow south of the tropical ridge ( high pressure area) which shall intensify more leading to a more West-North West bend in the path. 
Given the present microwave imagery,it appears that TS BOB D1 ( Thane) HAS CROSSED THE MID STAGE OF FINAL INTENSIFICATION ROUND. 

Considering the present estimates from CIMSS,GFS and the overall dynamics including the decreased lower convergence,lower SST and cool air dry inflow METD WEATHER ESTIMATES THE SYSTEM TO REACH THE PEAK IN NEXT 8 HOURS AND THEN START WEAKENING. 

FORECASTS ( VALID +12HRS FROM 1130PM IST,27TH DEC)

TS BOB D1 WILL REACH THE PEAK INTENSITY ON WED ( 28TH DEC 2011) MORNING PERIOD 
METD WEATHER ESTIMATES THE SYSTEM TO REACH THE CATEGORY 1 STATUS ( IF THE PRESENT MAX WIND OF 1 MIN SUSTAINED IS OVER 105KM/HR WHICH IS NOT KNOWN)

THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN FROM 12 NOON,28TH DEC 2011 AND PROGRESS TOWARDS AREAS AROUND CHENNAI ON 29TH DEC EVENING

IT SHALL BE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING LANDFALL




CENTRAL INDIA MOISTURE INCURSION- 

THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOB D1 AFTER LANDFALL AT MID LEVELS SHALL MOVE TOWARDS THE CENTRAL INDIA CONSIDERING THE 12Z,GFS 27TH DEC 2011 RUNS. THE LOWER TO MID LEVEL WINDS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SYSTEM AROUND NGP SHALL BE SOUTH SOUTH-EAST

IF IT CONTINUES THEN THE CENTRAL PARTS OF INDIA WILL GET SOME RAINFALL ON NEW YEAR EVE ESPECIALLY 31ST DEC 2011 AND SOMETIME AROUND 1-2 JAN 2012 WHICH WILL DEPEND ON THE PATH.. 






Akshay Deoras
Severe Earth & Space Weather Forecaster,Astrophysics article writer.

Web-
www.akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
www.metdweather.blogspot.com
        www.scribd.com/akshaydeoras

Monday, December 26, 2011

Tropical Storm BOB D1 (Thane) surging towards Chennai

METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

The massive Tropical Storm BOB D1 ( IMD Designation - TS Thane) is heading towards Chennai rapidly. The weather models indicate that the storm is continuing its fight against the Moderately Sheared Environment of V Shear of 15kt which has started affecting the symmetry and the intensity of the system. As of 0900AM IST today, the system has cloud top temp ( PEAK) of -60C and is situated in the sea having SST 28C. 

Multispectral Satellite imagery confirms the weakening of the system and JTWC designates as of today morning ( 9am IST) that system is 420NM East of Chennai. 

Considering the other parameters, it does appear that lower convergence of 20kt in presence of rich moisture has continued to fuel the system due to favored upper air poleward outflow. 

Forecast-
It does appear to me that the system HAS REACHED A MID OF PEAK INTENSIFICATION PROCESS today with peak winds of 45kt right now as of 40kt at past 21 hours. Presence of cooler SST,less moist environment ahead shall begin the WEAKENING PROCESS .
IMD and other weather bloggers are expecting the system to reach a Severe Cyclonic Storm status or Cat 1 which I believe will not happen. 

BOB D1 shall weaken from around tonight and reach around Chennai on 29th Dec evening to night hours as a Tropical Depression or a marginal Tropical Storm based on Saffir Simspon Scale. 

People of Chennai must watch out from the system especially from Moderate Rains and Winds and Rough seas for coastal areas !


Akshay Deoras
Severe Earth & Space Weather Forecaster,Astrophysics article writer.

Web-
www.akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
www.metdweather.blogspot.com
        www.scribd.com/akshaydeoras

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Bay of Bengal Low Pressure Update-1

Bay Of Bengal Low Pressure Update-1
Designation - BOB D1
Valid +24hrs from 1800GMT

An area of convection has formed between 5N-15N and 82E-92E. The Satellite imagery clearly depicts exposed low level circulation center, associated cloud tops over -70C and Spiral symmetry of the system. Model analysis indicates that the system has ROBUST potential for intensification given the excellent poleward outflow ( Upper air) of 20kt, persisting low level convergence ( increasing) of 15kt and negligible wind shears to affect! The system is being fed by the 29C Sea Surface Temp and plenty of moisture in the region. The attached 850mb vorticity indicates favorable lifting mechanism for the intensification in overall ..

Considering the given parameters,BOB D1 will continue movement NW in the Bay of Bengal reaching offshore Southern India around 26-27.If the system goes as expected then it shall produce heavy rains accompanied by strong winds,storm surge offshore Tamil Nadu,Karnataka.

The system shall be a Tropical Depression at peak from its present forecast!

II- Weather in Central India may take a turn?
If the system goes on the track as expected, then it shall pump moisture at mid and low levels in Central,Eastern India towards the 30th Dec and shall increase cloud cover and precipitation probabilities in the region.
It shall be monitored separately!


Akshay Deoras

Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Expected weather forecast for Lunar Eclipse 10th Dec 2011

METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

Our parent blog,AKG is celebrating the Lunar Week which is a week prior to the upcoming Grand event of Total Lunar Eclipse of 10th Dec 2011 i.e on coming Saturday
Everyone knows that this is the second and the final total lunar eclipse of this year with the first one already happened on 15th June where due to the pre-monsoon phase the weather didn't permit a good view at majority areas of India. However as the winter is now in full swing, its an obvious fact that with no active low pressure systems to influence, much of India is going to get a CLEAR view of the event. 
Below is a list of 32 cities of India for which the weather forecast is calculated. 

It appears that around 88% of the nation will get good weather for the eclipse 


Akshay Deoras

---------------
Expected weather forecast of evening 10th Dec 2011 @ 5PM-11PM

Cloud Cover( In percent)             Terminology
0                                                            CLEAR
1-20                                                      LIGHT
21-50                                                   MODERATE
51-75                                                   HEAVY
76-100                                                OVERCAST

Alphabetical order-
1 ] Agartala - Cloud Cover shall be MODERATE but occasional views of Eclipse will be possible. 
2] Agra- CLEAR WEATHER EXPECTED WITH NO CLOUD COVER
3] Ahmedabad- CLEAR 
4] Aizawl- CLEAR
5] Allahabad- CLEAR
6] AMBALA - CLEAR
7] AMRITSAR- CLEAR
8] Bangalore- MODERATE ( Weather will depend on day time heat and chances of thunderstorms) 
9] Bhopal - LIGHT
10] Bhubaneshwar - LIGHT
11] Chandigarh - LIGHT to CLEAR
12] Chennai - MODERATE ( HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT MAY LEAD TO CLOUD COVER) 
13] New Delhi- CLEAR
14] Gandhinagar- CLEAR
15] Gangtok - HEAVY CLOUD COVER EXPECTED
16] Guwahati - LIGHT
17] Jammu - CLEAR
18] KARNAL- CLEAR
19] Kolkata- CLEAR
20] LEH- CLEAR TO LIGHT CLOUD
21] LUCKNOW- CLEAR
22] LUDHIANA- CLEAR
23] MUMBAI- CLEAR
24] NAGPUR- CLEAR
25] PATNA- LIGHT
26] RAJKOT- CLEAR
27] SRINAGAR- CLEAR
28] SURAT- CLEAR
29] TRIVANDRUM- LIGHT
30] Vishakhapatanam- LIGHT
31] PUNE- CLEAR
32] HYDERABAD- CLEAR

Thus four areas and nearby i.e Agartala and some SEVEN SISTER STATES AREA,Bangalore,Chennai and Gangtok and nearby areas have some possible cloud cover influence. The forecast is preliminary and is subjected to change as per the situation 

In all the other areas will get good weather for eclipse . 

METD WEATHER



Akshay Deoras
Severe Earth & Space Weather Forecaster,Astrophysics article writer.

Web-
www.akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
www.metdweather.blogspot.com
        www.scribd.com/akshaydeoras


Friday, December 2, 2011

"Science of Lunar Eclipse through FAQ & Celestial Beauty of Saturday"



A Week prior to the 10th Dec 2011 Total Lunar Eclipse, AKG is beginning the Lunar Week from Sat ( 03rd Dec) to 10th Dec 2011. 
The Lunar Week's inaugural article is here.I am proud to present this article titled as "Science of Lunar Eclipse through FAQ & Celestial Beauty of Saturday" 

The article focuses on explaining the science of Lunar Eclipse through Frequently Asked Questions I have encountered with written in a simple language to enable the readers to understand it. Also given below are the datas from Eclipse NASA giving insight about the event on 10th Dec 2011 when a Total Lunar Eclipse will be visible. 
The Eclipse is important for me and my hometown as the next eclipse ( Total Lunar) will be visible nearly after 6 years !!! 


So sit back and enjoy and wish you a Happy Lunar Week.

AND!!
FOR THOSE WHO WILL BE ABLE TO SEE THE ECLIPSE: MARK THE DATE --- Sat,10th Dec 2011

Akshay Deoras
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

"Science of Lunar Eclipse through FAQ & Celestial Beauty of Saturday"
By Akshay Deoras


The coming Saturday,10th Dec  is going to be a wonderful evening for all the astro lovers! There will be a Total Lunar Eclipse on the evening of Saturday which will be the second one of the year ( After 15th June 2011) when the first total lunar eclipse was seen. 
However, the weather didn't allow any view of the eclipse from Nagpur. 

The Eclipse is going to be visible completely  in East Asia,Australia,New Zealand.In India the moon will rise before the beginning of penumbral eclipse in North East states,East central region,Eastern Jammu and Kashmir. For central India including Nagpur,and the remaining regions the moon will rise in the penumbral eclipse. Penumbral Eclipse happens when the moon enters the penumbra or outer faint shadow of the Earth. As a result the TOTALITY PHASE will be seen by these areas. 
However for much of Africa,Europe the eclipse last stages will be seen and so it will just be restricted to Partial Lunar Eclipse for them. The Eclipse will not be visible in extreme west africa,South America and Antarctica prominently. 

The Details for India

I must say that cities in the entire Seven sister states,West Bengal,Sikkim,Bihar,Jharkhand and some parts of Chattisgarh,Extreme eastern J&K  will have the moon rise before the P1 stage. So they can experience the entire phenomena. 
For Kolkata moon will rise on 10th Dec around 1637hrs (1107UT).


The general timings are - 

P1 = 11:33:32 UT ….. (0503PM IST)…..  Moon enters the penumbra 

U1 = 12:45:42 UT …. (0615PM IST)…..  Moon enters the umbra 

U2 = 14:06:16 UT ….. (0736PM IST) …  TOTAL ECLIPSE BEGINS

GREATEST ECLIPSE - 1432UT ( 0802PM IST)

U3 = 14:57:24 UT …. (0827PM IST) 
U4 = 16:17:58 UT….. (0948PM IST) … MOON LEAVES UMBRA
P4 = 17:30:00 UT …. (11PM IST) …     ECLIPSE ENDS 




WHAT WILL THE PEOPLE SEE (INCLUDING NAGPUR) ?

Nagpur Special*

For Nagpur, the moon rise on 10th is at 1723hrs IST (1153hrs UT)
Moon enters the Umbra - 0615PM IST 
Total Eclipse Begins - 0736PM IST
MAXIMUM - 0802PM IST
Total Eclipse Ends- 0827PM IST
Partial Eclipse ends - 0948PM IST
Penumbral Eclipse ends- 11PM IST

THE NEXT TOTAL LUNAR ECLIPSE TO BE VISIBLE FROM NAGPUR WILL BE ON 31ST JAN 2018


Apparent View of the Moon and Earth's shadow in Real time at 0802PM IST
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MOON'S APPEARANCE WILL BE SIMILAR AS SHOWN IN THE ABOVE FIGURE

At 1133UT, the moon's appearance will start fading slightly which is often not noticed by naked eyes. This happens as less dark shadow of Earth falls on the Moon. As the Moon starts progressing towards the Umbra Region, from 1406UT, the Totality will start and the Moon's surface will begin to cut off due to the earth and moon will start getting darker but there will be appearance of Red shades will increase and at 1432UT the moon will be BRICK RED. The reverse process will again follow as the moon leaves umbra completely at 1618UT. 

The Eclipse will be over at 1730UT! 



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



The Myth of Eclipses

The phenomena of eclipse wasn't as enjoyable thousands of years ago as it is today especially to see the copper red moon of totality. 

Chinese people had mentioned first about Solar Eclipse long way back around 2134BC. People of the ancient times used to fear from the eclipse as they thought it was a curse. Even the famous war between Lydians and Medes ended after 5 years at once as the day turned dark due to Solar Eclipse- A phenomena which they didn't understand. 

  For those who don't know the science of the eclipse, lets learn it through Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
 
Q.Ingredients for the recipe of Total Lunar Eclipse?

 A. Sun,Earth,Moon


 Lunar Eclipse occurs when the Earth's shadow falls on the moon.When I am standing in front of a tube light my shadow falls behind ( Say there is a screen). This screen is the moon and I am the earth for consideration

Q.How is the moon's orbit around the Earth?

A.The orbit of the moon around the Earth is an ellipse ( curve obtained when you join letter "u" from top with inverted "u"). Moon's orbit around the earth makes an angle of 5 Degree 14 mins with the ecliptic ( Ecliptic plane is the plane in which Earth orbit's the Sun)

Its like when you consider a clock let the minute hand pointing from 9 to 3 be ecliptic. So the second's hand pointing from 10-4 and 8-2 is the moon's orbit around the earth but in the real three dimension of space.

Thus the second's hand crosses the plane two times.At 9'o clock and 3'o clock.The same is the concept of Moon.
Moon's orbit crosses the ecliptic two times during one orbit referred as nodes( Explained below)
Thus for earth's shadow to be casted on moon or moon blocking the solar disc, the moon must be in a common plane with earth and sun i.e have co-planar orbits.

 Q. When Moon crosses the ecliptic twice a month, then why there isn't eclipse twice a month?

      A. Consider the below figure

COURTESY- DWIGHT ENNIS


The Nodal axis is a line joining the two nodes. That is for eclipse moon must be at one node which it does twice in its orbit BUT the sun ALSO must be at the  other far end of the stick ( Nodal axis). It is supposed to happen every 6 months. 

Q. Why doesn't the Eclipse re-occur at the same date after 6 months?

A.The combined gravitational pull between Earth-Moon-Sun creates a wobble in that nodal axis and so it oscillates. Due to this the dates of eclipses aren't repeated at the same dates.

Q. WHY MOON APPEARS RED SHADE DURING TOTALITY?

A. When the Totality stage arrives, the moon enters much of the Darker portion ( UMBRA) of earth's shadow. Logically one says that during maximum eclipse, the moon's view must be blocked totally making it dark and invisible for sometime but it doesn't happen. 
It appears Brick or Copper Red ! 
The reason is at this  stage, the sun's light is still traveling in the earth's atmosphere. We know that the WHITE light is composed of seven colors but as per Rayleigh's Scattering, the color having less wavelength will scatter more i.e prominently Violet,Blue and others. Since the Red color has higher wavelength than other colors, its less scattered and so when the sun's light exits the earth's atmosphere the red color spectrum is dominant. This light falls on the moon and we see its reflection. If there is more dust,volcanic ash etc in atmosphere then Moon's color will appear different !  There is a scale known as Danjon Scale which determines the color of moon which will be seen during total lunar eclipse 

The French astronomer Andre-Louis Danjon proposed a useful five point scale for evaluating the visual appearance and brightness of the Moon during total lunar eclipses. 'L' values for various luminosities are defined as follows:

     L = 0     Very dark eclipse.                Moon almost invisible, especially at mid-totality.       L = 1     Dark Eclipse, gray or brownish in coloration.                Details distinguishable only with difficulty.       L = 2     Deep red or rust-colored eclipse.                Very dark central shadow, while outer edge of umbra                is relatively bright.       L = 3     Brick-red eclipse.                Umbral shadow usually has a bright or yellow rim.       L = 4     Very bright copper-red or orange eclipse.                Umbral shadow has a bluish, very bright rim.
Courtesy- Arvind Paranjpye

Q.Is Lunar Eclipse SAFE to Watch?

A. Absolutely YES!
Infact I will encourage the readers to hunt with their telescopes or binoculars or simple naked eyes to watch this celestial beauty..

Q.Is Lunar Eclipse connected to any Natural Calamity,disasters etc. 
A. Absolutely not. 

Q.What is the speed of the moon during this projection through Earth's shadow?

A. Around 1.6km/sec 


More questions are welcomed at-